Ken Ashby's AccuRatings
National Football League (NFL) AccuRatings
Winner of Todd Beck's "Best Predictive System" award in 2008 145-111 vs Spread (99.9%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2013 138-118 vs Spread (97.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2014 165-90 StraightUp (99.6%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2015 74-51-10 (59.2%) vs Spread in Beck's PT for Second Half 2015 162-92 Confidence (94.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2016 165-91 Confidence (97.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2017 167-87 Confidence (99.0%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 140-116 vs Spread (98.5%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 163-92 Confidence (95.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 138-118 vs Spread (95.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 135-121 vs Spread (96.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2020 121-151 vs Spread (did not handicap COVID suspensions) in 2021 Best MSE in Beck's Totals (OU) of 23 non-Vegas systems in 2022
***** Ken Ashby's NFL AccuRatings through Monday, November 27, 2023 (end of Week 12) NFL Home Advantage = 2 points To predict point spread, subtract PS ratings after adding 2 points to home team. To predict over/under, add OU ratings. Rnk Prv Team Div W-L Pct Sch Off Def PS-OU 1 1 Philadelphia Ne 10-1 .796 9 3 15 54-26 2 3 San Francisco Nw 8-3 .753 21 7 1 56-22 3 2 Baltimore An 9-3 .744 25 8 2 56-21 4 4 Kansas City Aw 8-3 .743 13 5 3 56-23 5 5 Dallas Ne 8-3 .713 32 1 5 57-26 6 8 Jacksonville As 8-3 .686 8 10 10 52-22 7 9 Miami Ae 8-3 .684 26 2 22 54-26 8 6 Detroit Nn 8-3 .657 20 6 26 51-26 9 7 Cleveland An 7-4 .616 14 12 9 52-22 10 10 Buffalo Ae 6-6 .585 30 4 7 56-25 11 12 Pittsburgh An 7-4 .581 4 27 4 49-18 12 11 Minnesota Nn 6-6 .528 18 13 17 51-23 13 20 Denver Aw 6-5 .508 10 20 23 48-22 14 14 Houston As 6-5 .501 27 17 16 49-22 15 17 Indianapolis As 6-5 .500 23 11 29 49-25 16 15 LA Chargers Aw 4-7 .496 2 9 24 51-25 17 13 Cincinnati An 5-6 .484 3 14 19 50-22 18 22 Green Bay Nn 5-6 .474 22 15 13 50-21 19 16 Seattle Nw 6-5 .461 29 16 25 48-23 20 24 LA Rams Nw 5-6 .455 15 21 18 48-21 21 18 New Orleans Ns 5-6 .437 28 19 12 50-20 22 19 Tampa Bay Ns 4-7 .437 5 22 11 49-20 23 23 Las Vegas Aw 5-7 .404 17 18 21 48-22 24 21 NY Jets Ae 4-7 .404 1 29 6 48-17 25 25 Tennessee As 4-7 .397 11 26 8 49-19 26 26 Atlanta Ns 5-6 .382 31 25 20 48-21 27 28 Chicago Nn 4-8 .339 19 23 28 46-22 28 27 Washington Ne 4-8 .295 24 24 31 45-23 29 30 NY Giants Ne 4-8 .295 6 32 27 43-19 30 29 New England Ae 2-9 .269 7 31 14 46-18 31 31 Arizona Nw 2-10 .211 16 28 32 44-23 32 32 Carolina Ns 1-10 .180 12 30 30 44-20 *****