Ken Ashby's AccuRatings
National Football League (NFL) AccuRatings
Winner of Todd Beck's "Best Predictive System" award in 2008 145-111 vs Spread (99.9%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2013 138-118 vs Spread (97.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2014 165-90 StraightUp (99.6%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2015 74-51-10 (59.2%) vs Spread in Beck's PT for Second Half 2015 162-92 Confidence (94.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2016 165-91 Confidence (97.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2017 167-87 Confidence (99.0%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 140-116 vs Spread (98.5%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 163-92 Confidence (95.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 138-118 vs Spread (95.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 135-121 vs Spread (96.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2020
***** Ken Ashby's NFL AccuRatings through Monday, January 17, 2022 (Round 1) NFL Home Advantage = 2 points To predict point spread, subtract PS ratings after adding 2 points to home team. To predict over/under, add OU ratings. Rnk Prv Team Div W-L Pct Sch Off Def PS-OU 1 1 Tampa Bay Ns 14-4 .761 29 1 11 58-29 2 2 Green Bay Nn 13-4 .749 25 7 15 53-26 3 3 Kansas City Aw 13-5 .740 21 2 8 58-28 4 5 LA Rams Nw 13-5 .736 13 6 4 56-23 5 7 Buffalo Ae 12-6 .703 30 3 1 62-24 6 6 Tennessee As 12-5 .695 20 5 9 55-25 7 4 Dallas Ne 12-6 .685 27 4 18 56-29 8 8 Arizona Nw 11-7 .651 5 12 13 53-24 9 10 San Francisco Nw 11-7 .639 11 11 6 55-23 10 9 New England Ae 10-8 .597 16 10 2 57-21 11 11 Cincinnati An 11-7 .596 31 13 19 52-25 12 12 Indianapolis As 9-8 .568 19 8 10 54-25 13 13 New Orleans Ns 9-8 .556 12 18 5 53-20 14 14 Pittsburgh An 9-8-1 .536 1 22 17 48-21 15 16 LA Chargers Aw 9-8 .532 23 9 27 50-29 16 15 Las Vegas Aw 10-8 .527 7 19 26 47-26 17 17 Miami Ae 9-8 .520 26 21 20 48-22 18 18 Philadelphia Ne 9-9 .493 28 16 22 50-25 19 19 Minnesota Nn 8-9 .488 17 14 25 48-27 20 20 Cleveland An 8-9 .471 22 20 14 49-21 21 21 Baltimore An 8-9 .471 24 15 7 54-22 22 22 Seattle Nw 7-10 .445 10 17 12 52-23 23 23 Washington Ne 7-10 .403 3 26 24 45-20 24 24 Denver Aw 7-10 .384 32 25 3 50-15 25 25 Atlanta Ns 7-10 .363 15 24 29 42-23 26 26 Chicago Nn 6-11 .334 14 28 16 46-18 27 27 Carolina Ns 5-12 .286 18 27 21 45-19 28 28 Houston As 4-13 .236 6 29 30 41-22 29 29 NY Jets Ae 4-13 .231 2 30 31 39-23 30 30 NY Giants Ne 4-13 .228 9 32 23 41-16 31 31 Detroit Nn 3-13-1 .224 8 23 32 41-26 32 32 Jacksonville As 3-14 .188 4 31 28 40-20 *****