Ken Ashby's AccuRatings
National Football League (NFL) AccuRatings
Winner of Todd Beck's "Best Predictive System" award in 2008 Best StraightUp Win (tied) in Beck's PT for Second Half 2009 145-111 vs Spread (99.9%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2013 138-118 vs Spread (97.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2014 165-90 StraightUp (99.6%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2015 74-51-10 (59.2%) vs Spread in Beck's PT for Second Half 2015 162-92 Confidence (94.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2016 165-91 Confidence (97.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2017 167-87 Confidence (99.0%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 140-116 vs Spread (98.5%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 163-92 Confidence (95.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 138-118 vs Spread (95.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 135-121 vs Spread (96.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2020 121-151 vs Spread (did not handicap COVID suspensions) in 2021 Best MSE in Beck's Totals (OU) of 23 non-Vegas systems in 2022 Best vs Spread (54.7%) in Beck's Totals for Second Half 2023 74-41 (64.3%) vs Spread in Beck's Totals for First Half 2025 Best Mean Square Error in Beck's Totals for First Half 2025
***** Ken Ashby's NFL AccuRatings through Sunday, February 8, 2025 (Final) NFL Home Advantage = 2 points To predict point spread, subtract PS ratings after adding 2 points to home team. To predict over/under, add OU ratings. Rnk Prv Team Div W-L Pct Sch Off Def PS-OU 1 1 Seattle Nw 17-3 .832 6 2 1 60-23 2 2 LA Rams Nw 14-6 .757 3 1 8 58-26 3 3 New England Ae 17-4 .723 32 10 5 55-22 4 4 Houston As 13-6 .716 5 13 2 55-19 5 5 Jacksonville As 13-5 .715 15 7 10 55-24 6 6 Denver Aw 15-4 .704 31 14 3 54-20 7 7 San Francisco Nw 13-6 .696 4 9 12 53-24 8 8 Buffalo Ae 13-6 .651 28 3 16 55-28 9 9 Chicago Nn 12-7 .606 19 12 20 50-25 10 10 Philadelphia Ne 11-7 .605 17 17 6 53-20 11 11 LA Chargers Aw 11-7 .578 25 22 9 51-20 12 12 Detroit Nn 9-8 .554 14 4 19 54-28 13 13 Pittsburgh An 10-8 .549 8 21 15 49-22 14 14 Green Bay Nn 9-8-1 .531 23 15 11 52-22 15 15 Minnesota Nn 9-8 .528 13 24 4 52-18 16 16 Indianapolis As 8-9 .521 7 5 22 53-28 17 17 Baltimore An 8-9 .499 21 8 14 53-25 18 18 Tampa Bay Ns 8-9 .474 11 16 21 49-24 19 19 Atlanta Ns 8-9 .462 24 25 23 47-22 20 20 Carolina Ns 8-10 .437 10 27 18 46-20 21 21 Kansas City Aw 6-11 .410 20 19 7 52-19 22 22 Dallas Ne 7-9-1 .401 30 6 32 47-32 23 23 Miami Ae 7-10 .373 29 26 24 46-22 24 24 Cincinnati An 6-11 .364 18 11 31 47-29 25 25 New Orleans Ns 6-11 .341 26 29 17 46-19 26 26 Washington Ne 5-12 .328 16 18 27 47-25 27 27 Cleveland An 5-12 .295 27 31 13 45-17 28 28 NY Giants Ne 4-13 .294 12 20 25 47-24 29 29 Arizona Nw 3-14 .290 2 23 28 46-24 30 30 Tennessee As 3-14 .253 1 28 29 42-22 31 31 Las Vegas Aw 3-14 .227 9 32 26 42-19 32 32 NY Jets Ae 3-14 .199 22 30 30 42-23 ****