Ken Ashby's AccuRatings

National Football League (NFL) AccuRatings

Winner of Todd Beck's "Best Predictive System" award in 2008 145-111 vs Spread (99.9%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2013 138-118 vs Spread (97.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2014 165-90 StraightUp (99.6%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2015 74-51-10 (59.2%) vs Spread in Beck's PT for Second Half 2015 162-92 Confidence (94.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2016 165-91 Confidence (97.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2017 167-87 Confidence (99.0%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 140-116 vs Spread (98.5%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 163-92 Confidence (95.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 138-118 vs Spread (95.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 135-121 vs Spread (96.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2020 121-151 vs Spread in 2021 (did not handicap COVID suspensions)
***** Ken Ashby's NFL AccuRatings through Monday, November 21, 2022 (Week 11) NFL Home Advantage = 2 points To predict point spread, subtract PS ratings after adding 2 points to home team. To predict over/under, add OU ratings. Rnk Prv Team Div W-L Pct Sch Off Def PS-OU 1 1 Buffalo Ae 7-3 .750 5 2 1 58-24 2 2 Kansas City Aw 8-2 .717 10 1 10 56-27 3 3 Baltimore An 7-3 .679 3 5 5 54-22 4 7 Dallas Ne 7-3 .652 25 3 7 54-23 5 5 Philadelphia Ne 9-1 .645 32 8 20 51-24 6 12 San Francisco Nw 6-4 .614 21 9 2 54-20 7 6 Miami Ae 7-3 .613 6 6 18 52-24 8 10 Tennessee As 7-3 .612 12 20 6 51-21 9 8 Cincinnati An 6-4 .611 14 4 14 53-24 10 4 Minnesota Nn 8-2 .593 9 15 24 49-24 11 11 New England Ae 6-4 .587 22 17 3 53-20 12 9 NY Jets Ae 6-4 .568 2 21 13 50-22 13 13 Tampa Bay Ns 5-5 .537 11 19 8 51-21 14 15 Seattle Nw 6-4 .521 28 7 26 50-25 15 14 NY Giants Ne 7-3 .488 31 29 19 47-20 16 20 Washington Ne 6-5 .465 23 28 12 48-20 17 19 LA Chargers Aw 5-5 .451 16 10 31 48-26 18 16 Green Bay Nn 4-7 .438 8 22 16 49-22 19 22 Cleveland An 3-7 .433 7 12 25 49-24 20 18 Indianapolis As 4-6-1 .432 18 25 11 49-21 21 25 Atlanta Ns 5-6 .429 20 16 29 48-24 22 24 New Orleans Ns 4-7 .423 26 18 15 50-22 23 23 LA Rams Nw 3-7 .414 4 24 9 49-21 24 21 Pittsburgh An 3-7 .411 1 27 21 47-21 25 30 Detroit Nn 4-6 .409 15 11 32 47-27 26 17 Arizona Nw 4-7 .406 13 14 30 48-25 27 28 Las Vegas Aw 3-7 .396 24 13 28 49-24 28 26 Chicago Nn 3-8 .374 19 23 23 48-22 29 29 Jacksonville As 3-7 .367 27 26 22 47-21 30 31 Carolina Ns 3-8 .364 17 30 17 47-20 31 27 Denver Aw 3-7 .361 29 32 4 48-16 32 32 Houston As 1-8-1 .242 30 31 27 45-20 *****