Ken Ashby's AccuRatings
National Football League (NFL) AccuRatings
Winner of Todd Beck's "Best Predictive System" award in 2008 145-111 vs Spread (99.9%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2013 138-118 vs Spread (97.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2014 165-90 StraightUp (99.6%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2015 74-51-10 (59.2%) vs Spread in Beck's PT for Second Half 2015 162-92 Confidence (94.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2016 165-91 Confidence (97.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2017 167-87 Confidence (99.0%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 140-116 vs Spread (98.5%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 163-92 Confidence (95.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 138-118 vs Spread (95.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 135-121 vs Spread (96.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2020 121-151 vs Spread (did not handicap COVID suspensions) in 2021 Best MSE in Beck's Totals (OU) of 23 non-Vegas systems in 2022
***** Ken Ashby's NFL AccuRatings through Sunday, February 12, 2023 (Final) NFL Home Advantage = 2 points To predict point spread, subtract PS ratings after adding 2 points to home team. To predict over/under, add OU ratings. Rnk Prv Team Div W-L Pct Sch Off Def PS-OU 1 1 Cincinnati An 14-5 .752 1 5 6 56-24 2 2 Kansas City Aw 17-3 .751 17 1 13 57-28 3 3 Buffalo Ae 14-4 .733 12 2 2 59-25 4 4 Philadelphia Ne 16-4 .709 32 3 16 55-27 5 5 San Francisco Nw 15-5 .696 30 8 1 56-20 6 6 Dallas Ne 13-6 .643 28 4 12 55-26 7 7 Minnesota Nn 13-5 .611 31 10 31 48-27 8 8 Baltimore An 10-8 .589 5 13 3 53-19 9 9 Pittsburgh An 9-8 .560 3 26 8 49-18 10 10 Miami Ae 9-9 .557 2 7 21 52-25 11 11 LA Chargers Aw 10-8 .533 21 12 26 49-26 12 12 Detroit Nn 9-8 .527 18 6 32 49-28 13 13 NY Giants Ne 10-8-1 .519 16 24 22 47-20 14 14 Jacksonville As 10-9 .513 26 16 19 49-22 15 15 New England Ae 8-9 .510 9 17 5 52-20 16 16 Seattle Nw 9-9 .492 15 9 25 50-26 17 17 Washington Ne 8-8-1 .474 23 29 10 48-18 18 18 Tampa Bay Ns 8-10 .471 6 20 17 49-21 19 19 Cleveland An 7-10 .469 8 15 20 50-22 20 20 Green Bay Nn 8-9 .468 20 14 15 50-22 21 21 NY Jets Ae 7-10 .463 4 28 7 49-18 22 22 New Orleans Ns 7-10 .432 13 21 4 51-18 23 23 Tennessee As 7-10 .429 14 27 11 48-19 24 24 Carolina Ns 7-10 .424 24 22 18 48-20 25 25 Atlanta Ns 7-10 .417 25 19 23 48-23 26 26 Las Vegas Aw 6-11 .393 22 11 24 49-25 27 27 LA Rams Nw 5-12 .350 7 23 14 48-20 28 28 Denver Aw 5-12 .339 19 32 9 47-16 29 29 Arizona Nw 4-13 .309 10 18 30 47-25 30 30 Indianapolis As 4-12-1 .287 29 25 27 45-22 31 31 Chicago Nn 3-14 .264 11 30 29 44-22 32 32 Houston As 3-13-1 .250 27 31 28 43-20 *****