Ken Ashby's AccuRatings
National Football League (NFL) AccuRatings
Winner of Todd Beck's "Best Predictive System" award in 2008 145-111 vs Spread (99.9%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2013 138-118 vs Spread (97.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2014 165-90 StraightUp (99.6%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2015 74-51-10 (59.2%) vs Spread in Beck's PT for Second Half 2015 162-92 Confidence (94.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2016 165-91 Confidence (97.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2017 167-87 Confidence (99.0%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 140-116 vs Spread (98.5%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 163-92 Confidence (95.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 138-118 vs Spread (95.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 135-121 vs Spread (96.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2020 121-151 vs Spread (did not handicap COVID suspensions) in 2021 Best MSE in Beck's Totals (OU) of 23 non-Vegas systems in 2022
***** Ken Ashby's NFL AccuRatings through Sunday, February 11, 2024 (Final) NFL Home Advantage = 2 points To predict point spread, subtract PS ratings after adding 2 points to home team. To predict over/under, add OU ratings. Rnk Prv Team Div W-L Pct Sch Off Def PS-OU 1 1 Baltimore An 14-5 .764 19 6 1 59-21 2 3 Kansas City Aw 15-6 .759 3 7 2 57-21 3 2 San Francisco Nw 14-6 .734 23 5 3 57-23 4 4 Detroit Nn 14-6 .721 5 3 26 53-29 5 5 Buffalo Ae 12-7 .659 27 2 5 57-25 6 6 Dallas Ne 12-6 .643 30 1 12 57-27 7 7 Miami Ae 11-7 .621 22 4 24 53-28 8 8 Cleveland An 11-7 .598 15 10 19 51-24 9 9 Philadelphia Ne 11-7 .583 21 8 29 51-27 10 10 LA Rams Nw 10-8 .577 8 15 16 50-22 11 11 Pittsburgh An 10-8 .570 4 27 4 50-17 12 12 Cincinnati An 9-8 .566 2 12 18 51-23 13 13 Green Bay Nn 10-9 .564 13 9 13 53-23 14 14 Houston As 11-8 .558 28 20 17 49-21 15 15 Jacksonville As 9-8 .550 10 11 14 51-23 16 16 Tampa Bay Ns 10-9 .544 20 21 6 51-19 17 17 Seattle Nw 9-8 .507 18 17 25 48-23 18 18 Indianapolis As 9-8 .496 29 13 30 48-26 19 19 New Orleans Ns 9-8 .493 32 16 8 51-21 20 20 Denver Aw 8-9 .483 9 23 20 48-21 21 21 Las Vegas Aw 8-9 .462 17 19 10 51-21 22 22 Minnesota Nn 7-10 .460 6 18 15 50-22 23 23 Chicago Nn 7-10 .413 26 22 22 47-22 24 24 NY Jets Ae 7-10 .394 16 29 7 47-16 25 25 LA Chargers Aw 5-12 .379 1 14 23 49-23 26 26 Atlanta Ns 7-10 .351 31 25 21 47-20 27 27 Tennessee As 6-11 .345 24 28 11 48-18 28 28 NY Giants Ne 6-11 .340 12 30 28 43-18 29 29 Arizona Nw 4-13 .253 11 24 31 44-24 30 30 New England Ae 4-13 .249 7 31 9 46-15 31 31 Washington Ne 4-13 .220 25 26 32 42-24 32 32 Carolina Ns 2-15 .155 14 32 27 42-18 *****